When will World of Warcraft end?

Written by: (@oliviadgrace) | November 7, 2012 9:30 am

49 Comments

Blizzard Blue Vaneras posted about this on a thread today, saying the following:

“Everything ends, even WoW… So a more suitable question would be “When will WoW end?”… my guess is that it will end when there is no one left playing world of warcraft mmorpg mmorpg     Will WoW Ever End?

There are lots of cool things in the works for the game in the future, so I personally think WoW has quite a few good years in it still.”

Vaneras has a point. No game, even one as huge and mighty as WoW, will ever live forever.

But what will eventually take down the behemoth? Many cite the graphics as WoW’s biggest issue, and while it is undoubtedly true that newer games such as Borderlands 2, Guild Wars 2 or Final Fantasy have superior graphics engines, Blizzard is working to upgrade WoW’s graphics little by little. Furthermore, WoW has a sort of Disney look to it that has stood the test of eight years fairly well, even if it looks gaudy and dated next to other games, it feels acceptable to those like me who play it. Updated models, which are in the works, will do no harm, though!

Free to play is another widely cited bringer of doom to the popular MMO. Firstly, because of the introduction of several games on alternate financing models that appear far more appealing to the buyer than to WoW. Guild Wars 2, as a fine example, offered an initial purchase of the game, followed by free play for what is thus far an indefinite period. WoW has, so far, weathered that storm, but many more are coming. As we’ve discussed on Legendary a couple of times now, the problem for any new game looking to break into the fantasy MMORPG market is that WoW is already 10 million customers ahead. Yes, it ebbs and flows, the Annual Pass expiry will likely result in some subscriber losses, but the sweep is in on the sub numbers being roughly the same come this quarter’s announcement.

Why wouldn’t WoW go free-to-play? Well, the only people who know the answers to that for sure are the folks at Blizzard. But it seems, for now at least, that the funds required to revamp character models, build more content, and fix all the other issues of the game, are likely to come far more from subscription costs than from initial purchases. Tomorrow, we will see Activision Blizzard’s Q3 results announced, do check back to GAMEBREAKER for discussion on that. Of course, it is possible that corporation issues could herald the end of this popular franchise, with recent attempts to shift shares in Activision Blizzard causing a stir in the markets.

There has been many a rumor circulating that this expansion or that expansion will be WoW’s last. Rob Pardo, Executive Vice President of Game Design at Blizzard, has tweeted recently that the next World of Warcraft expansion will be “amazing”, which, while it’s a big claim, at least reassures players that there is another one coming. It seems likely, and this is supported by Vaneras’ blue post above, that rather than having a cut-off where there are still millions playing but no new content is released, WoW will go down slowly. Vaneras says it will end when nobody is playing it any more. And that seems pretty likely.

What do you think? I’ll leave you with some appropriate words from T.S. Eliot:

This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a whimper.

 

When will World of Warcraft end?

  • http://twitter.com/dularr Dularr

    A good question is which one will be the last MMORPG standing?
     - Has SWTOR killed off any publisher from trying to create a new AAA big-budget MMO?
     - Has GW2 killed off any publisher from trying to create a new AAA big-budget sub-based MMO?

    • http://twitter.com/Luke_Malcolm Luke Malcolm

      Aren’t SWTOR & GW2, WoWs only competition now a days ?

      • http://www.facebook.com/marco.antelope Marco Antelope

        That’s a pretty narrow way to look at it. There are dozens of options (MMO wise), that are very much alive, competing for those dollars.

        Gw2 and Swtor are just the ones that get thrown around the most. There are more “first gen MMOs” still running today, still producing content, still releasing e-paxs, than ones that have been shut down. Hell Asheron’s call just passed it’s 13th year in service, and is still charging a fee that some people are more than happy to pay.

        GW2 and Swtor just get all the hype from the game “news” sites, it’s what brings in traffic.

  • Dekin

    Mike to the B looking a little rough, lol.  I hope the baby is letting y’all sleep. Don’t worry you get revenge in the teenage years with dad genes and socks with sandals.

    I think the only thing that will kill WoW is Blizzard

  • http://www.facebook.com/davidallmighty David Cohen

    GINA!
    that is all

  • http://www.facebook.com/davidallmighty David Cohen

    Nonono the different sub/free to play levels is a bad idea. SWTOR is a great example of it. Now SWTOR is nickel and diming to no emd, so maybe not the best example, but just mixing in some F2P people who get less and Sub people who pay more has devided to community baddly

    • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1260066056 Steven Diaz

      You’re right, SWTOR is doing it wrong.  To see it being done right, see LoTRO.

  • Nate Anglin

    I think decline in WoW would be either WoW itself or Titan. We saw competition with Diablo 3, making a competing IP will hurt a bit. But EQ is still out there, getting updated with new expansions, and it has a tiny player base and is old as DIRT haha.  I don’t think it will go away suddenly, it will fade out as people move to another blockbuster game. I don’t think it will actually ”die” (servers down) for at least another 10 years.

    • http://twitter.com/AnesthesiaOlogy Josh E

      Diablo III wasn’t a competition; it was a joke. Seriously, D3 didn’t compete with WoW longer than two weeks.

      • Nate Anglin

        But it did compete.  If it was a good game, it would have competed for longer. Just saying that die hard Blizzard fans will leave WoW for another Blizzard game.  Diablo 3 did that for a short time and its not even an MMO.

  • http://www.facebook.com/davidallmighty David Cohen

    Time will kill it, but no one or even a handful of games will kill it. A slow death or a finacial issues with Blizzard that forces its early shut down. Oh and the Myan 2012 death to all… duh

  • http://www.facebook.com/davidallmighty David Cohen

     GW2 was never a wow killer. It is a totally different game. I and many people I know bought it and play it from time to time. SWTOR could have been better, but in all honesty the developers did not know how to make a good MMO. They tried too hard not to be WOW or even not to be an MMO that they made everything instanced and the MM part of the MMO was nearly invisable.

    • http://twitter.com/dularr Dularr

      But GW2 and SWTOR may have killed off any new large sub-based MMO.

  • matraque

    EQ Next

    • Nate Anglin

      Im really hoping EQ next is a big contender. Loved EQ back in the day, although I lost my trust in SOE after the SWG debacle.  I think it has a strong chance of doing well, as WoW was basically EQ with all the irritating problems fixed, I can see EQ next doing the same thing and being WoW with things fixed again. Seeing as it is one of the only other MMOs with basically the same leveling and end game structure  I think and hope it has a good chance.

  • http://www.facebook.com/V4N1SH Talal Vanish

    i switched to LoL + any other major game that comes out “NFS series, Farcry3 , blah blah blah.) wonder if anyone did the same 

  • http://twitter.com/Deadalon Deadalon

    Quite a few years…  I thought Blizzard said last year that it would still be going strong in 2020 …  Aparently something has changed.

  • http://www.facebook.com/inkogni.alex Inkogni Alex

    now i want to know if the post was made on EU or US side, if its US then *** them blues. give some love to the EU side, rarely have a blue post there. if it was EU, FINALLY something on that side

    • http://twitter.com/Luke_Malcolm Luke Malcolm

      Cause Eve is a good game, the only MMO that is 100% different from the rest & didn’t rip off older games. I play Eve & enjoy it, it just really hard to get into without someone to show you the ropes.

      • http://www.facebook.com/inkogni.alex Inkogni Alex

        o7 my friend, i also agree to what you posted there. playing it close to a year so far. cant wait for Dust 514 to launch and have some small ground army or bomb the enemy forces

      • http://profile.yahoo.com/YSVAPKVBUPTX6YS3W2DLPOBNN4 AlokP

        EVE Online took lots from games like Elite and Traveller. There was also a fairly popular MUD on AOL back in the mid-90s with the same theme – space commerce, intergalactic trading, planet building, alliance forming, etc.

  • JariKiv

    Ever quest 1 is releasing an expansion on November 19. Ultima online is still going also.

    I don’t see WoW shutting down its last server for at least another twenty years. People are still going to keep playing it. The subscription numbers would have to drop down to the point where it would stop making profit.

  • http://www.facebook.com/Cavaliere.Errante Fabio Pizzini

    If we check a game like DAoC, older than WoW it is still running and will not close in the immediate time, so i think it is impossible to say “when” a mmorpg will close … if it is still online with few sub warhammer, i think wow will live forever :D

  • http://www.facebook.com/C4darkmane Andrew Clive Early

    I would see Blizzard create a story end to WoW eventually, then leave it free to play until everyones done or maybe Blizz change wow sub to Battlenet sub and basically say pay ur cash and get acess to all blizz games (inc Titan) and updates almost like a tv channel

    • http://twitter.com/Luke_Malcolm Luke Malcolm

      Thats a great idea actually, I would do it.

  • http://www.facebook.com/chad.pittman.184 Chad Pittman

    The only thing that will kill WoW is Blizzard itself to make way for Titian. I predict that Titian Will be that next WOW OMG This is awesome MMO that kills WOW.

  • http://www.facebook.com/guilherme.pacanaro Guilherme Pacanaro

    If Tibia could stand for 15 years like that (and is still standing), i bet we will teach our grandchildren how to play WoW…

  • dysfxal

    WoW will die the (very) slow death it has been.  It remains the best raider MMO in terms of difficultly and nuance, however WoW will simply slowly leech players during those “down” periods when people are awaiting new content.  I say this because that is when I left.  Between swtor and gw2 my appetite for mmo flavor is sated as well as both of these games providing a fresh experience (in terms of look, lore, or gameplay).  That WoW is so old will mean that it will get few new players, and as such will have to rely on it’s current base to survive.  In my estimation it will for just about as long as blizzard takes its upkeep seriously, but I for one will never come back.     

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Kyle-Eggers/100000868131517 Kyle Eggers

    WoW won’t go free to play but they might go the GW2 route of buy to play.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Kyle-Eggers/100000868131517 Kyle Eggers

    LOL EQ is still out and just went F2P one year ago WoW has a bit of time but he subs will continue to drop.

  • Revanhavoc

    I think when Blizzard’s new MMO ‘Titan’ comes out they will still charge a sub fee for WoW.

    Depending on what happens, WoW may move to F2P eventually, although I do not see a SWG scenario where WoW would be shut down due to ‘Titan’ or any other reason. WoW will be like EQ and keep going for 20 years.

  • protrolly

    everyone think titan going to be the next big thing cos of wow i won’t like to bet on it 

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Jeroen-Goossens/1042752827 Jeroen Goossens

    Yes, instead of playing the game and enjoying ourselves let’s endlessly chatter about if wow will die, when wow will die, how wow will die.  Just say the butler did it with a lipstick in the bathroom and go kill some blood elves.

  • tawnos42

    Death of a thousand cuts.  League of Legends was the biggest one, but every game is drawing a bit off of WoW.

    GBTV goes on and on about the subscription costs and the f2p bias, but is anyone really concerned about the $15 a month?  My tacit assumption is that the gaming target audience is older and older with each passing year and once your target audience no longer consists primarily of college kiddies (as was the case with e.g. EQ in 1999) I can’t see the meager subscription fee being an impediment to the majority of the playerbase.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/XG6TYCCE7HMDH7OQK5BUH2K5AE J

    There are what 11 million people maybe more signed up for WOW…no other mmo can even come close.

    Although we dont know what Titan is, there is NO guarantee Titan will be a hit especially if it is a FPS. So people WILL fall back on WOW if Titan isnt the end all be all.

    It amazes me how some people even sometimes certain gamebreaker cast members keep harping on “Free to play” — that doesnt apply to EVERY game guys…

    3 main reasons WOW does well and people are willing to PAY a sub for it:

    #1) its a well made fantasy world archetype which is hard wired into people to identify with figures in it

    #2) Blizzard started out as “We are gamers making games for gamers” before they went true corporate. That identifying with the players/customers which earned them alot of love from gamers.

    #3) Wow is a game people feel is EPIC…granted its LOSING that as they shift to try to appeal to a MASS market (aka casuals)…but still overall has an epic feel. When you invest as much time and effort into a CHARACTER especially over years…you become attached and the game, people in it, and characters mean something.

    Even in this HIT above, they talk about how wow is still subbed…. because its GOOD and people WILL pay for good. that simple.

    GW2 is a good experiment because I think its showing exactly my point over the last year
    :

    If a game is considered “Something you jump into once in a while on the fly” people lose a sense of identity with the game on a DEEP level.

    You can just PLAY a game “GW2″ or you can EXPERIENCE it “WOW”.

    Free to play is a trend. It will be ok for SOME types of games.
    Free doesnt work…theres nothing thats “free”. Everything free is earned in some way or paid for in some way just maybe not upfront.

    SUBS pay for content and effort of those who MAKE the games.

    Free is used by games like “GW2″ as a gimmick hook…even GW1 used it that way.

    Seriosuly as news journalists (and I really like most of the gamebreaker crews material), you need to be more critical.

    • Nick Cattane

      Who can even take this serious with multiple grammatical errors – not to mention your erratic writing style?  I have no issue with WoW, love GW2, etc – but damn, this really deters from your comments.

    • http://twitter.com/The_7th_Pixel Marc

      If I were to add to that list it seems one factor that jumps out every time is that “my friends play it”. It’s this that will keep WoW alive and until people are brave enough to try something new and there is mass movement then WoW will always be around.

  • http://twitter.com/TheMekkaMan Mekka Man

    Disney will be the end of WOW

  • http://www.facebook.com/brianlikesithot Brian Chapman

    I think it’s pretty clear at this point from an objective point of view that a game isn’t going to bring down World of Warcraft.  Time is what is degrading its user-base.  The millions of players who left the game didn’t leave for GW2 or SWTOR or any other MMORPG even if they ended up playing those titles instead. 

    They left because World of Warcraft is nearly a decade old and even the most dedicated player or the best game is only going to last for so long in the life of any given player.  The expansion packs and subtle changes to the game elongate this but largely nostalgia is the blame for the large resurgence you see each time the game has an update.  Then those players leave again and each time the resurgecne is smaller. 

    While it is true that its likely that the only games to ever compete with WoW’s record holding numbers will be WoW 2 or Titan it isn’t because Blizzard is a great developer or the games are particularly groundberaking or even “good”.  It’s because in the subconcious of 10 million players, these games are the next big expansion in a storied game experience that they grew up with.

    • jugyfant

       Yes Mr. Chapman this argument holds a great deal of merit and i admit to having belonged to the recurring player base with each expansion. But it is also fair to say that the view angle of the same argument can perhaps be portrayed as to be coming from a player that has outgrown the game in many aspects. The assumption of a player base that is fairly to degradingly steady without addition of newcomers to make up for the game quitters is not so very well balanced considering the huge marketing campaigns and quite innovative (alltough sometimes badly needed) upgrades by Blizzard entertainment. Furthermore the subscriber throughput must be in very high eight figure numbers if not nine figures high on individual accounts over the past eight years. I do not believe that simply outgrowing the game on a personal level is as degrading to world of warcraft as the gamedesign and technology itself at this stage.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/FPXO267IVAHL3MK4HRRNRQPNDA Bush Swanson, The American Dre

    I hope wow goes free to play because I only have enough money for a couple things and I have a dog and I have to feed him so it’s like what do i do?

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Brandon-Davis/100000286723150 Brandon Davis

    honestly, i think the only thing that will kill wow completely is if/when blizzard stops supporting it

  • http://twitter.com/justQQing Brian Day

    it will end at lvl 100 thats why mop is trying to get the pvp fixed cuz when the game ends at 100 pvp will be the only good endgame 

  • http://twitter.com/Veldara Veldara

    WoW has been around for so long that there are now MMO players that grew up to the game and its way of handling the gameplay.  These players are used to that style and they love it, new MMOs that try to do something different have a measure of success but so many people enjoy WoW style gear progression and raiding that MMOs that don’t include it are really limiting themselves from that massive audience.

    That sort of gear and achievement progression speaks to player’s egos.  Raiding and endgame in WoW is all competitive   Not just PvP in the traditional sense but competitive against your own guildmates, your partymates, etc.  See who has the better gear, the cooler mounts, higher dps, tps, hps, it goes on and on.  

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/John-Logsdon/660372319 John Logsdon

    I only see WOW closing if Blizzard has a new WOW and wants to transfer their efforts to that. They could close it and try to transition people from wow to wow2

  • RockerDC3

    WoW is already dead to me.

  • Poordevil

    I played WoW from a couple of weeks after launch for about 9 months. It was my first ever MMO and I enjoyed it for the time I played it. Then I got tired of logging on to a cartoon, the art style wore on me and I quit. Haven’t touched it since. I have no idea how much longer the game will be live. As long as there are computers and internet connections perhaps?

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=862175353 Gavin Morgan

    Every so often i go back to WoW. I recently bought MOP and from the minute i logged in i realised that i had made a mistake. 

    It really did look and feel old. After playing Rift and Guild wars2 it just felt really plastic and looked gaudy even at max settings.

    I think i just need to let it go and look back on the good memories as opposed to logging in from time to time trying to recreate that magic feel again.

    Had a great time and its best to leave it there.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=537601843 Rob Dexter

    I quit both WoW accounts yesterday. So much has changed, so much lame stuff in the game now. Kinda like Legendary! It started out great with just the three guys, Gary, Josh and Mike. Then they added some new people and it went downhill! I still enjoy WoW and GBTV but the lame elements are pushing me away. Not much anyone will do about that. Just saying.

    (Chris Hanel is cool, though.)

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